Hertha BSC vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
AUG
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BVB
1 - 2
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
STU
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
HAN
1 - 1
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
KOL
2 - 0
HOF
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 4
KOL
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 2
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HSV
3 - 4
KOL
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 1
KAI
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |