Hertha BSC vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
BVB
2 - 2
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
HER
1 - 0
BRE
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
BYM
3 - 0
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
HER
0 - 1
STU
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
EBT
3 - 3
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
KOL
2 - 0
S04
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
GIR
2 - 1
KOL
45%
23%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
HSV
3 - 1
KOL
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
KOL
0 - 0
MUN
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
KAI
4 - 0
KOL
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |