Herstal vs Herderen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herstal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MEI
1 - 1
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
HER
1 - 4
STO
21%
23%
57%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HUY
1 - 3
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
HER
3 - 3
MOR
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RIC
1 - 2
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Herderen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
LIE
5 - 0
HER
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 73 | 49 | 0 |