Herrestads AIF vs Kongahälla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
11º
2º
26
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 55 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 32 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 23 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HER
3 - 3
VAN
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
STE
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 1
HER
57%
21%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kongahälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 2
KON
10%
14%
76%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
KON
2 - 2
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
VFK
1 - 4
KON
26%
23%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TRO
4 - 3
KON
58%
20%
23%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
AST
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |