Herrestads AIF vs BK Forward analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
4º
31
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
HER
23%
20%
58%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
GRE
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SKS
2 - 0
HER
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
IKZ
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SKO
1 - 0
HER
23%
20%
57%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
BK Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
BKF
1 - 1
FBK
72%
15%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LID
2 - 1
BKF
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BKF
5 - 1
GAU
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
STE
4 - 0
BKF
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BKF
0 - 0
YIK
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |