Herrera II vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
62.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
HFC
1 - 0
UDP
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UFC
3 - 2
HFC
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
HFC
1 - 1
IDC
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CDU
0 - 0
HFC
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
HFC
0 - 1
AFM
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
VCD
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAP
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
CDU
1 - 1
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
IDC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
UFC
1 - 2
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |