Herrera vs Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
HER
2 - 1
MAG
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
UDS
1 - 1
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
HER
0 - 4
CDC
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
UDM
2 - 2
HER
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HER
2 - 0
SDB
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
QUI
3 - 2
PEN
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 4
QUI
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SAB
3 - 1
QUI
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
QUI
4 - 2
CFJ
53%
25%
23%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
DEL
1 - 0
QUI
21%
25%
55%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |