Herrera vs Monreal CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+238%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
HER
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
OLV
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOQ
1 - 2
HER
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
OLV
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
EUR
0 - 0
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monreal CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
ATE
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 2
MON
84%
11%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
TAU
25%
22%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAA
6 - 1
MON
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 5
MOR
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |