Herning Fremad vs VRI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herning Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AAR
6 - 3
HER
29%
23%
47%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HER
0 - 5
IFL
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
NOR
3 - 1
HER
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
HER
5 - 3
SKJ
90%
7%
3%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
TJO
1 - 1
HER
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
VRI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
VRI
0 - 2
SIK
12%
16%
71%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VRI
2 - 1
DJU
35%
22%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
AAR
3 - 3
VRI
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
VRI
0 - 4
IFL
13%
17%
71%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 2
VRI
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |