Herne Bay vs East Grinstead Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
THR
3 - 5
HER
33%
21%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
GUE
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BER
5 - 0
HER
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
HYT
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
RAM
0 - 3
HER
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
East Grinstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 3
WHI
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 5
AVE
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RAM
2 - 0
EAS
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 3
ASH
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
PHO
6 - 3
EAS
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |