Herne Bay vs Ashford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
THE
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
FAV
6 - 3
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
WHY
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
EAS
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
HAS
40%
26%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
EGH
3 - 1
ASH
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASH
1 - 0
AYL
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 2
ASH
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
HAN
2 - 2
ASH
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ASH
2 - 3
CHA
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |