Hernán Cortés vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
HER
63%
23%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
MIA
39%
27%
34%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
VAL
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 0
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 0
DPC
81%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 3
ARR
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
CPL
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 3
ARR
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |