Romanian Liga I Normal Season Round 19

Hermannstadt vs Universitatea Craiova analysis

Hermannstadt Universitatea Craiova
75 ELO 79
-5.9% Tilt -14.5%
800º General ELO ranking 795º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.6%
Hermannstadt
27.5%
Draw
38.9%
Universitatea Craiova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
Hermannstadt
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.9%
Win probability
Universitatea Craiova
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hermannstadt
+12%
+4%
Universitatea Craiova

Points and table prediction

Hermannstadt
Their league position
Universitatea Craiova
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
13º
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FCSB
64
64
100%
FC Rapid Bucuresti
55
55
100%
CFR Cluj
53
53
100%
Universitatea Craiova
49
49
100%
Sepsi
43
43
100%
Farul Constanța
43
43
100%
Universitatea Cluj
42
42
100%
Hermannstadt
40
40
0%
UTA Arad
40
40
0%
Petrolul Ploiesti
10º
35
35
10º
100%
Oțelul Galați
11º
34
34
11º
100%
Politehnica Iași
12º
33
33
12º
100%
U Craiova 1948
13º
31
31
13º
100%
Dinamo Bucureşti
14º
29
29
14º
100%
Voluntari
15º
28
28
15º
100%
Botosani
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hermannstadt
Universitatea Craiova
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Hermannstadt
Universitatea Craiova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hermannstadt
Hermannstadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2023
CHI
Chindia Târgovişte
0 - 1
Hermannstadt
HER
28%
26%
46%
74 65 9 0
02 Dec. 2023
UTA
UTA Arad
2 - 0
Hermannstadt
HER
41%
28%
31%
75 71 4 -1
24 Nov. 2023
HER
Hermannstadt
0 - 0
Politehnica Iași
CSM
57%
24%
19%
75 67 8 0
11 Nov. 2023
SFC
Farul Constanța
1 - 1
Hermannstadt
HER
58%
23%
19%
75 79 4 0
06 Nov. 2023
HER
Hermannstadt
1 - 0
CFR Cluj
CLU
32%
27%
41%
74 79 5 +1

Matches

Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2023
CSU
Universitatea Craiova
4 - 0
Farul Constanța
SFC
42%
24%
34%
79 79 0 0
02 Dec. 2023
CSU
Universitatea Craiova
1 - 0
CFR Cluj
CLU
45%
26%
30%
79 79 0 0
26 Nov. 2023
GAL
Oțelul Galați
1 - 3
Universitatea Craiova
CSU
17%
27%
56%
79 64 15 0
12 Nov. 2023
CSU
Universitatea Craiova
1 - 0
Dinamo Bucureşti
DBU
69%
20%
11%
79 65 14 0
04 Nov. 2023
CSU
Universitatea Craiova
1 - 1
U Craiova 1948
CRA
57%
24%
19%
78 71 7 +1