Hermann Aichinger vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CRI
2 - 3
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MET
4 - 0
CAM
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FFL
4 - 1
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
JEC
29%
24%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
MET
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |