Hermann Aichinger vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
51.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BRU
1 - 0
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
3 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BRU
2 - 0
HER
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
JUV
79%
14%
6%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
CHA
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
BRU
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |