Herlev vs Marienlyst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
HER
2 - 0
BAL
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
SKJ
0 - 3
HER
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
HER
4 - 2
ABT
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GVI
2 - 1
HER
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
HER
5 - 1
BRØ
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +5 |
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 4
AVA
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VAN
1 - 0
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
MID
35%
25%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
B93
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SBO
0 - 1
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |