Herlev vs Nykøbing FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HER
4 - 0
NBB
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
1 - 3
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
HVI
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LFA
3 - 1
SVE
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LFA
0 - 0
NAE
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
LFA
0 - 0
VAR
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
THI
5 - 1
LFA
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
LFA
3 - 2
KJE
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |