Herlev vs Kastrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FA2
1 - 2
HER
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
B73
2 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
STE
75%
14%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
TAA
1 - 0
HER
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HER
5 - 0
KAR
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
KAS
1 - 0
FRE
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
4 - 2
KAS
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
KAS
4 - 4
FA2
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
B73
8 - 0
KAS
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
KAS
2 - 2
STE
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |