Herkol vs Alken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
GRO
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
EKS
1 - 4
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VVZ
1 - 2
HER
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HER
3 - 6
HER
45%
22%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
KEW
5 - 0
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ALK
1 - 4
THA
24%
22%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BIL
4 - 2
ALK
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ALK
1 - 4
ZNH
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
EEN
2 - 0
ALK
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ALK
0 - 2
BRE
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |