Herkol vs Achel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
EEN
2 - 0
HER
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
VLI
79%
13%
9%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HIH
2 - 2
HER
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
ZON
69%
17%
15%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ZEP
0 - 2
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Achel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ACH
0 - 1
WEK
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
ACH
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACH
2 - 5
MEL
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ALK
4 - 1
ACH
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ACH
3 - 0
HUV
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |