Herisau vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
65.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
HER
0 - 2
FCB
15%
21%
64%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BAZ
1 - 1
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SCB
1 - 1
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
HER
1 - 3
FCD
29%
25%
46%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ARB
4 - 2
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
FRE
3 - 0
LIN
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BAZ
0 - 1
FRE
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 1
FRE
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 1
FRA
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 2
TOW
63%
20%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |