Hergiswil vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
RUS
2 - 5
HER
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
HER
1 - 2
IBA
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
HOC
4 - 3
HER
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
HER
3 - 3
MAL
84%
11%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
GUN
1 - 6
HER
34%
22%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
TAV
1 - 2
MEN
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ESC
8 - 0
TAV
78%
13%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TAV
2 - 0
FCM
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SEU
4 - 0
TAV
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TAV
3 - 4
WIN
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |