Hergiswil vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 5
HER
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
GUN
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
BUO
25%
21%
53%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 0
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
RUS
51%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 4
BUO
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 0
SAR
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 0
RUS
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GCB
0 - 2
SAR
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 6
ASC
57%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |