Hergiswil vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
14º
14º
67
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
FCC
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
HER
67%
17%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 1
HER
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 0
HER
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
BRU
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MEN
0 - 0
FCC
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 4
MEN
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MEN
2 - 0
BRU
62%
20%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ZUG
0 - 1
MEN
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
MEN
12%
18%
70%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -2 |