Hergiswil vs Gunzwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
BUO
25%
21%
53%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 0
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
RUS
51%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GCB
0 - 3
HER
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gunzwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
GUN
1 - 1
HOC
54%
22%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BUO
2 - 0
GUN
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUN
3 - 0
IBA
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 1
GUN
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUN
1 - 1
GOL
37%
23%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |