Hergiswil vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 4
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
FCA
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
ESC
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LSS
3 - 4
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 5
EMM
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 2
ESC
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 0
EMM
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 0
FCS
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 2
VED
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BUO
2 - 0
FCS
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |