Hergiswil vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HER
3 - 2
EMM
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
HOC
2 - 3
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
IBA
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GOL
1 - 2
HER
57%
20%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HER
3 - 3
ESC
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
GCB
62%
20%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BUO
3 - 0
ASC
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 2
TAV
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RUS
3 - 1
ASC
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
GOL
46%
23%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |