Hergiswil vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 0
HER
39%
21%
40%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 4
BRU
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
VED
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
SAR
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
GOL
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HOC
2 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 6
IBA
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BRU
3 - 0
CAS
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASC
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |