Hereford United vs Ebbsfleet United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 3
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
TAM
2 - 2
HER
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
GUL
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 3
HER
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
EBB
1 - 1
WRE
31%
27%
41%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
EBB
0 - 1
BRA
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NUN
4 - 5
EBB
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
EBB
0 - 0
DOV
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
EBB
2 - 3
LIN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |