Hereford United vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
2 - 1
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
BCF
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
WYC
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
STA
0 - 2
HER
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
POS
1 - 0
CHE
81%
14%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 1
DAR
21%
28%
51%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 1
CHE
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
BRA
31%
29%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 2
WRE
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |