Hereford Pegasus vs Westfields analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
77.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford Pegasus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
HPF
1 - 1
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 2
HPF
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HPF
4 - 1
TUF
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HPF
2 - 3
LYD
78%
14%
9%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
HPF
2 - 4
BRI
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Westfields
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
WES
1 - 3
MAL
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WES
1 - 2
CAR
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
LYD
1 - 2
WES
4%
10%
85%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ASH
2 - 4
WES
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
WES
1 - 0
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |