CONCACAF Champions Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
CS Herediano vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CSH
2 - 2
CSU
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
CSH
36%
25%
40%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CSH
2 - 0
LFC
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CSH
1 - 0
SAP
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
ADC
0 - 0
CSH
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
OLI
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 6
OLI
5%
12%
82%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
CSH
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 1
OLI
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
54%
25%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |