LaLiga Round 15

Hércules vs Valencia analysis

Hércules Valencia
74 ELO 80
-5.4% Tilt -9.9%
2293º General ELO ranking 55º
73º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
36.6%
Hércules
28.7%
Draw
34.7%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
Hércules
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34.6%
Win probability
Valencia
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hércules
-10%
+4%
Valencia

ELO progression

Hércules
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 1985
BET
Real Betis
1 - 0
Hércules
HER
67%
20%
13%
74 81 7 0
27 Nov. 1985
HER
Hércules
2 - 1
Mallorca B
MLL
82%
12%
6%
74 39 35 0
24 Nov. 1985
HER
Hércules
2 - 0
Real Sociedad
RSO
37%
30%
33%
73 83 10 +1
17 Nov. 1985
SPO
Real Sporting
3 - 1
Hércules
HER
67%
21%
12%
74 83 9 -1
13 Nov. 1985
MLL
Mallorca B
1 - 1
Hércules
HER
21%
23%
57%
74 38 36 0

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 1985
VCF
Valencia
0 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
59%
23%
18%
81 80 1 0
27 Nov. 1985
VCF
Valencia
6 - 1
Deportivo Aragón
ZAR
83%
11%
6%
80 60 20 +1
23 Nov. 1985
ATH
Athletic
2 - 2
Valencia
VCF
76%
15%
9%
80 87 7 0
17 Nov. 1985
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Osasuna
OSA
65%
21%
14%
80 76 4 0
13 Nov. 1985
ZAR
Deportivo Aragón
1 - 2
Valencia
VCF
24%
25%
51%
80 61 19 0