Hércules vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
HER
3 - 1
AGD
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 1
TER
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
RCD
0 - 2
LLE
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
LLE
3 - 0
ALF
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
LOG
2 - 2
LLE
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
LLE
0 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
RSO
1 - 0
LLE
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |