Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
EIB
1 - 0
HER
39%
31%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ALB
3 - 1
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
HER
1 - 2
FCB
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
MAL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
SPO
1 - 1
OSA
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
CDB
2 - 0
SPO
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
DEP
1 - 1
SPO
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 0
LEG
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
MER
0 - 1
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |