Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
HER
1 - 1
OLI
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
CAS
2 - 2
HER
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
ELD
2 - 2
HER
23%
30%
47%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
HER
3 - 2
RAY
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
SAB
1 - 1
HER
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
ATM
2 - 1
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
SPO
2 - 1
ZAR
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
SPO
3 - 0
MUR
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
SEV
1 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
SPO
0 - 0
VAD
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |