Hércules vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
CDT
4 - 1
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
MLL
0 - 1
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
HER
1 - 3
ALC
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
CAD
3 - 1
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
HER
1 - 1
LEV
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
RJA
0 - 0
MLL
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
ALC
4 - 1
RJA
61%
21%
17%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
RJA
3 - 2
CAD
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
LEV
1 - 0
RJA
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
RJA
1 - 0
PUE
35%
29%
35%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |