Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
HER
3 - 2
ATH
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
VAD
1 - 0
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
HER
2 - 1
FCB
14%
21%
66%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
HER
0 - 2
VCF
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
RAY
2 - 1
MLL
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1997 |
MLL
1 - 0
RAY
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
RAY
1 - 2
FCB
17%
21%
62%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAY
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
RAY
3 - 1
VCF
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +2 |