Hércules vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SDF
2 - 1
HER
28%
28%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
PXD
32%
28%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 1
HER
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 0
CDE
52%
27%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NUC
0 - 0
MUR
33%
29%
39%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NUC
1 - 0
SAB
20%
28%
52%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 0
NUC
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NUC
1 - 1
ATB
21%
29%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 1
NUC
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -2 |