Hércules vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 0
HER
39%
28%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
HER
2 - 2
HOS
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
SAB
3 - 1
HER
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
LLE
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
GIM
0 - 0
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 1
ORI
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
GRA
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
HOS
1 - 2
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAB
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
LLE
2 - 2
NOV
57%
23%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |