Hércules vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
REC
1 - 0
HER
35%
30%
34%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
HER
0 - 2
CDO
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
HER
3 - 2
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
NUM
2 - 0
HER
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
MER
1 - 0
OSA
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
CDB
0 - 0
MER
40%
30%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
MER
2 - 0
LEG
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
MER
1 - 4
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
REC
0 - 0
MER
22%
30%
48%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |