Hércules vs CD Mensajero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CDT
2 - 1
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
HER
2 - 0
LAN
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
VEC
0 - 1
HER
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
HER
0 - 0
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
VAL
3 - 0
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CDM
3 - 1
GET
29%
29%
42%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CDM
1 - 0
PPJ
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CDT
2 - 0
CDM
72%
18%
9%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CDM
1 - 2
LAN
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VEC
0 - 0
CDM
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |