Hércules vs Mataró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 5
HER
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
HER
0 - 2
RCD
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
REU
1 - 0
HER
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
HER
3 - 1
PAL
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mataró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CEM
1 - 1
NOV
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 0
CEM
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CEM
2 - 1
HOS
46%
26%
27%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
SAB
2 - 0
CEM
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CEM
5 - 0
LLE
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |