Hércules vs CF Gavá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 3
HER
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
HER
0 - 1
MLL
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CEM
1 - 0
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
HER
3 - 0
FCB
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
RCD
2 - 1
HER
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CF Gavá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
GAV
0 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 0
GAV
57%
25%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
GAV
1 - 1
HOS
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SAB
1 - 0
GAV
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
GAV
2 - 1
LLE
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |