Copa del Rey . 1/64
Global 3-0
Hércules vs CF Gandia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
RCF
3 - 0
HER
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
RAC
4 - 1
HER
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
GAN
0 - 1
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
HER
2 - 2
CCF
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
PON
2 - 0
HER
61%
26%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CF Gandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
GAN
4 - 0
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
GAN
1 - 0
GIR
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
GAN
0 - 1
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
IBI
2 - 0
GAN
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
GAN
3 - 0
BAD
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |