Hércules vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
HER
2 - 1
ONT
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
VIL
2 - 1
HER
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
ONT
1 - 2
HER
20%
26%
53%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
HER
0 - 0
RAY
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
HER
3 - 2
ATH
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
CDT
2 - 0
TAL
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
CDT
1 - 0
OSA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
TAL
0 - 0
CDT
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
LEV
0 - 1
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
CDT
0 - 3
UDL
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |