Hércules vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
SSC
1 - 2
HER
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
HER
1 - 1
AMA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
LLE
0 - 2
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
HER
1 - 2
ECI
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
HER
0 - 0
ELC
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
CDT
1 - 0
FCB
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
MLL
0 - 1
CDT
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
CDT
0 - 0
EIB
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
CDB
0 - 0
CDT
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
VAD
2 - 0
CDT
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |