Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GIR
2 - 0
HER
24%
23%
54%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
HER
4 - 2
LEV
49%
21%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
BAD
3 - 4
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
HER
4 - 2
RSO
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
CAS
4 - 3
HER
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
CAS
1 - 0
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SPO
5 - 2
CAS
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
CAS
3 - 2
RAC
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
SEV
7 - 0
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |