Hércules vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.9%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
86.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
17.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
15.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 0
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
VIL
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
LEV
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
HER
18%
27%
55%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
CDE
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RSO
1 - 1
FCB
12%
19%
69%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 2
FCB
8%
15%
77%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FCB
0 - 0
MAL
90%
7%
3%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
12%
18%
70%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
FCB
16%
20%
64%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | -2 |