Hércules vs Barça Atlètic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
MAL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
OSA
0 - 0
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
HER
2 - 0
CDB
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
LEG
2 - 2
HER
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
HER
0 - 0
MER
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
FCB
4 - 0
OSA
44%
27%
28%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
CDB
1 - 0
FCB
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
FCB
0 - 2
LEG
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
MER
4 - 2
FCB
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
FCB
1 - 2
REC
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |